The Association Between Atrial Fibrillation Burden and All-Cause Mortality in Critically Ill Survivors: A Retrospective Study From the MIMIC-IV Database

Scritto il 14/01/2026
da Shan-Lin Wen

Nurs Crit Care. 2026 Jan;31(1):e70334. doi: 10.1111/nicc.70334.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common condition among critically ill patients, and AF burden serves as a quantitative measure of its occurrence. However, no studies have investigated the impact of in-hospital AF burden on the prognosis of critically ill patients.

AIM: To explore the impact of AF burden during intensive care unit (ICU) on all-cause mortality.

STUDY DESIGN: This retrospective observational study utilised population data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV Database. Patients who experienced episodes of AF during their ICU stay and were discharged from the hospital were included, and AF burden was calculated on the basis of nurse-documented hourly cardiac rhythm. We classified patients into three groups based on the tertile of AF burden: low (T1, < 9.58%), medium (T2, 9.58%-62.42%) and high (T3, ≥ 62.43%). The multivariate Cox regression models and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% CIs and explore linear and nonlinear relationships of AF burden and all-cause mortality, respectively.

RESULTS: A total of 6215 critically ill survivors with the episode of AF during the ICU stay were included. The mean age was 72.46 ± 11.86 years. High AF burden was associated with an increased risk of 1-year all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.13-1.45, p < 0.001), and restricted cubic spline analyses showed a linear relationship of AF burden with 1-year all-cause mortality. Additionally, there were no significant associations of AF burden and 30-day all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSION: In critically ill survivors, high AF burden during the ICU stay was associated with increased 1-year all-cause mortality, but not with 30-day all-cause mortality.

RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE: This finding underscores the value of nurse-documented AF burden in long-term risk stratification of discharged critically ill patients with AF, facilitating individual management to improve the prognosis.

PMID:41532967 | DOI:10.1111/nicc.70334